AutoBeta(AutoBeta.net)03/10 Report--

Buying an oil car or a tram has once again become a difficult problem of the century.

At 24:00 on March 3, a new round of price adjustment window for oil products opened. From the perspective of the Chinese market, 92 gasoline is increased by 0.2 yuan per liter, 95 gasoline by 0.22 yuan per liter and No. 0 diesel fuel by 0.22 yuan per liter. However, the international price of crude oil is still rising in recent days. Brent crude oil in London, for example, rose as high as $127.98 per barrel on March 8, which also means that the price of domestic oil products may rise significantly.

It is understood that the next round of oil price adjustment will take place at 24:00 on March 17. March 8 is the third working day of the 10 working day statistical cycle. The change rate of crude oil is 24.01%. The oil price is expected to increase by about 1040 yuan per ton, far exceeding the upward red line. In terms of liter, the increase is about 0.78-0.94 yuan per liter, which means that 95 gasoline will enter the era of 9 yuan. According to the general household car fuel tank 50L, each time to fill up will cost 40 yuan more. In response, some netizens said, "distinguished new energy car owners, in the past, I did not recognize Mount Tai, I apologize," while another netizen said, "We do not understand the happiness of new energy car owners."

Due to the rising oil prices of domestic finished products, new energy car companies have also caught up with the "dividend" of rising oil prices, and more and more consumers begin to consider trams. According to Tesla's official website, the delivery time of the full range of Model 3 and the long-lasting version of Model Y is expected to be 16-20 weeks, that is to say, 4-5 months, and the longest delivery time of Model Y rear wheel drive version and high-performance version is 14 weeks and 16 weeks respectively. From this calculation, if you buy Tesla Model 3 now, you will not be able to pick up the car until at least after June.

The same is true of new power brands. Xiaopeng car insiders said that due to the increase in orders, Xiaopeng car extended the delivery time. In the case of the P7, it takes about 6-7 weeks for the 480km version and 8-9 weeks for the 670km version, up from 4-6 weeks before. In addition to Xiaopeng and Tesla, the delivery time of NIO is expected to be 8 weeks, while the ideal estimate is 5-7 weeks.

According to the current situation, in terms of use cost, new energy vehicles do have greater advantages over traditional fuel vehicles. Against the backdrop of rising oil prices, Shen Hui, founder of Weimar, directly told consumers to buy electric cars. Shen Hui said on Weibo that the oil price of the new round of finished products should rise sharply, with 95-grade gasoline exceeding 9 yuan per liter, which will cost more than 450 yuan at 50 liters, which can be converted to recharge an all-electric car for several months. According to the calculation of 100000 kilometers in five years, the electricity cost of an intelligent pure electric car is about 80, 000 less than that of a gas car, which is almost equivalent to four LV or Herm è s entry-level bags. So, what else are you thinking about? Come and turn on the power!

Shen Hui's remarks also sparked a heated discussion among netizens. Some netizens said that from the point of view of cost, electric cars do have more advantages than petrol cars. Some netizens think that if I drive a gas car, it costs 1.2w a year, and 1.2k for a tram. I need 6w for fuel and 6k for tram in 5 years. Do I need to replace the battery after 5 years? Is it expensive? Who will have a higher devaluation rate of trams or oil cars after 5 years?

So, is it really time to buy an electric car? Objectively speaking, compared with the stubbornly high oil price, new energy vehicles can be driven as long as they are recharged, and the electricity price is far cheaper than oil prices. From this point of view, new energy vehicles do have advantages, but anyone who has driven electric vehicles knows that charging is only a small part of the cost of using new energy vehicles. Rising insurance prices, mileage anxiety and battery safety risks are all obstacles that restrict traditional oil vehicle owners to turn to new energy vehicles.

In addition, while the sales of new energy vehicles are growing rapidly, since the beginning of this year, many car companies, including Tesla, Xiaopeng, BYD, Guangzhou Auto EA, and so on, have announced price increases one after another, and the reason is mainly due to the decline of subsidies for new energy vehicles, the shortage of chips, the rising prices of power battery raw materials, etc., superimposed by the current war between Russia and Ukraine to push up commodity prices, but there is no end to this situation in the short term. The price of new energy vehicles may come under more pressure.

The automobile industry is concerned that the replacement of traditional fuel vehicles by new energy vehicles is a process of growth and decline, rather than a simple trade-off. Recently, the rise in oil prices has indeed brought some pressure to traditional oil vehicles. It seems that there is a trend that new energy vehicles will accelerate to replace traditional fuel vehicles, but in reality, the game between the two is far more complex than the market imagines. Even if new energy vehicles overcome resistance, it will be a long process to replace traditional fuel vehicles in the future. However, "the rise in oil prices is certainly good for all new energy car companies, because the cost of using fuel vehicles will be greatly increased." Fang Yunzhou, founder and chairman of Nezha Automobile, said.

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