AutoBeta(AutoBeta.net)02/25 Report--

In recent years, with the rise of the domestic new energy vehicle manufacturing trend again, many new car building forces such as Lai, Xiaopeng, Zhidou and other new car building forces have entered the new energy vehicle industry one after another. however, there is still controversy about the future of new energy vehicles. Li Yongwang, general manager of Zhongke synthetic Oil Co., Ltd., expressed his views on new energy vehicles in an interview with China Business and Economics on January 30, saying that catastrophic problems will occur when the total number of electric vehicles accounts for 10% of the total number of vehicles.

The following is the conversation about electric cars:

Reporter: what do you think of the development of electric vehicles?

Li Yongwang: the battery pollution of electric cars is really going to be replaced by fuel vehicles, which is uncontrollable. Compared with natural engines, the environmental factors caused by electric vehicles may be more serious than our exhaust factors, which we already know how to deal with. When electric cars account for 10% of the world's cars, catastrophic problems arise when they go further. At this time, people say that this thing is not (perfect) either.

Li Yongwang's views are as follows:

1. At present, the energy system established by mankind for more than 100 years has been formed, which supports the huge energy supply of all mankind. at present, the latest electric vehicle technology still has similar problems of catalytic technology and durability. New energy can not support the huge energy supply of human beings.

two。 Compared with fuel vehicles, the battery pollution caused by electric vehicles is far greater than the exhaust pollution caused by fuel vehicles, which can be artificially controlled, but the cost of battery recovery is high and difficult.

Li Yongwang is not optimistic about the development of electric vehicles as a whole, and his point of view is based on the current utilization rate of fossil energy at home and abroad. Studies by the Chinese Academy of Engineering and foreign institutions have shown that fossil energy accounts for about 80% of Chinese and foreign primary energy by 2030, of which coal accounts for about 50% of China's primary energy structure, even though coal consumption may still be as high as 40% by 2000-50. At present, coal accounts for 90% of domestic energy use.

On the contrary, many new energy car companies and government departments are full of confidence in the development of new energy vehicles, the most representative of which is Wang Chuanfu, chairman of BYD, who once said, "by 2030, I believe that private cars in China will be fully electrified. China is a country with more coal and less oil. A fuel truck consumes an average of two tons of oil a year. 62% of these two tons of oil comes from imports. Imported oil is transported by sea, and now the issues in the Strait of Malacca and the South China Sea are very complicated, so reducing our dependence on oil and realizing electrification ahead of time is also beneficial to our country's oil security and energy security. It is also conducive to the improvement of environmental pollution, energy conservation and emission reduction. "

Similarly, Li Shufu, chairman of Geely Group, once said of electric cars at the 100-person meeting: "Electric cars will run all over the street tomorrow, and everyone is chasing each other to make progress in this industry." Volvo is doing the same thing. It started more than a decade ago. Driverless technology is developed bit by bit, and electric cars are also developed bit by bit. " Lin Yi, chairman of BAIC New Energy, is also full of confidence in new energy vehicles, saying: "first, while human society is making continuous progress and pursuing the promotion of productivity, we must pay attention to the environment." from the original fossil energy to wind energy, electric energy, biogas energy-based renewable energy, yes, human beings to achieve sustainable development. If we say from the point of view of the development of human technology, electric vehicles are the necessity of human transportation, and if we want to achieve sustainable development, we should change from fossil raw materials to wind and electric energy. The best means of transportation for wind energy and electric energy is electric vehicles. "

Li Keqiang, member of the standing Committee of the political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and premier of the State Council, also talked about the development of domestic new energy vehicles at the National Conference on Scientific and technological Innovation, saying that it is necessary to encourage the development of new energy vehicles and give scientific research greater autonomy. The relevant government departments really should not interfere with too much unnecessary.

However, the views of domestic consumers are also different from those of business executives and government officials. Recently, after it was reported that car owners in Northeast China drove the Lvlai es8 with refueling vehicles and the driving range of cryogenic electric vehicles decreased, consumers seemed to be used to the bright spots of pure electric vehicles advertised by major car companies.

At present, electric vehicles, as Li Yongwang said, the immature technology is still troubling the major car companies, although efforts have been made on the mileage, but the factors affected are also complex, such as low temperature.

From the current ownership of electric vehicles in China, by the end of 2018, the ownership of electric vehicles in China has exceeded 1.2 million, although the proportion of the total number of domestic vehicles is relatively low. However, according to the report of the Federation of passengers, the ownership of electric vehicles in China will still grow at a high speed under the guidance of policies in 2019.

How big is the total amount of electric vehicles in our country? It is also difficult to predict until there is a breakthrough in electric vehicle technology.

Welcome to subscribe to the WeChat public account "Automotive Industry Focus" to get the first-hand insider information on the automotive industry and talk about things in the automotive circle. Welcome to break the news! WeChat ID autoWechat