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A German auto industry analyst recently announced that electric cars will eventually be replaced by hydrogen-powered cars. Dr. Felix Gress, head of corporate communications and public affairs at Continental Group, believes that battery-powered cars are cheaper than diesel and gasoline cars.

While Gress acknowledges that electric cars are hot and is becoming the focus of the auto industry, it expects the market to gradually shift to hydrogen-fueled vehicles over the next decade or so. "fuel cell vehicles are not yet mature enough to be put into large-scale use, but by 2030, we will see this trend, especially in the field of long-distance buses and trucks. I think the fuel cell is not out of reach. The only problem is the time it takes to put it into use, and we are working on it. "

Gress added that it was difficult for electric vehicles to gain recognition among consumers. It is difficult for customers to accept buying a car with a lower performance price at a higher price. Based on Continental Group's estimates, battery technology and even electric vehicles generally have limitations, and their mileage does not meet the needs of some people.

Gress's attitude and position on electric vehicles is the same as that of Klaus Fr ö lich, BMW's development director. Fr ö lich recently claimed that there is no demand for electric cars. "if we have a lot of incentives, we can flood the market with electric cars and sell a million. But the reality is that European consumers will not buy electric cars, we can force electric cars into the market, but they are not popular. "

It is surprising that mainland executives think that electric cars should be abandoned altogether and that electric cars are just a prelude to the introduction of hydrogen-powered cars. After all, hydrogen-powered cars have been around for a long time and have largely come to a standstill. Toyota's hydrogen-powered Mirai, for example, has been around for years, but it is not nearly as popular as the Prius, a Toyota hybrid.

The difference between the views of Fr ö lich and Gress is that Fr ö lich advocates the use of plug-in hybrid cars with both internal combustion engines and electric motors. Fr ö lich pointed out that BMW will still produce pure electric vehicles for the US and China, but the company will focus on the production of plug-in hybrid vehicles with a range of 80km.

Gress, a mainland executive, and Fr ö lich, a BMW executive, seem to agree that electric car batteries have insurmountable limitations. This is a questionable assumption, because electric car batteries have been developing for many years. Take Tesla as an example, the company has made a major breakthrough in battery technology in recent years, as illustrated by the performance of Model 3 batteries.

If you follow Gress's forecast for the development of hydrogen-powered vehicles in 2030, then electric vehicle batteries will certainly make a lot of progress compared with today. But it does not necessarily restrain the development of electric vehicles, after all, the reason why electric vehicles can develop, but also because of its unique charm, we are just in the process of continuous development, looking for the most suitable way of development.

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